[CBFF] Blog - Jerryz Week 1 Picks

[Jerry Madsen]

http://bloggeddrain.typepad.com/cbff/2007/09/jerryz-week-1-p.html

September 05, 2007
Jerryz Week 1 Picks

by Jerry Madsen

Last week's record: N/A
On the year: N/A
Winning %: N/A

I hate making the Week 1 picks.  It's a total crapshoot.  The
pre-season doesn't tell us much - if anything at all - and you're
fighting the specter of who these teams were the last time you saw
them, 36 weeks ago.  And with modern day parity, a single NFL year is
worth 7 years of normal change.

But going into week 1, there are certain untruths I hold to be
self-evident the 2007 NFL Season...

    * I'm dig'n those new duds the Chargers are sporting in 2007.
    * The Pats won't be as good as their off-season expenditures might
suggest.  To the best of my knowledge, the Yankees and the 97 Florida
Marlins have been the only teams who have successfully "bought" a
championship.
    * Eric Mangini and his Jets won't be sneaking-up on anybody in
2007.  Expect a sophomore slump for the coach and his team.
    * I believe that Brett Favre was influenced by his team's victory
over the Bears last New Year's Eve when he decided to come back.  He
should have instead considered the Packers narrow 9-7 week 16 win over
the lowly Vikings.  His INTs will out pace his TD total in 07.  And
boy will they suck.
    * The Atlanta Falcons will be better off without Michael Vick.
Bobby Petrino dodged a bullet.
    * Where is all this Philly love coming from?  Andy Reid has the
wrong house in order.
    * The Saints weren't a fluke.  Expect them to return to the NFC
Championship game against...
    * The Bears.  They are better then the team they put on the field
in Super Bowl XLI.  Rex will make it to the Pro-Bowl but that won't
shut-up any of the talking heads.  In the end, I expect this to go
down as a memorable season, but not for the reasons we hope.
    * ESPN still sucks.  Too easterly biased.  Too sensational.  Too
many so-called "experts."
    * The NFL Network is the best source to quality NFL coverage.
    * Fantasy Football is great for NFL's bottom line.
    * Fantasy Football is bad for the fans.

So with no further delay, the picks (home teams in bold):

San Diego over Chicago - Too much LaDainian Tomlinson and not enough
Thomas Jones.

Indianapolis over New Orleans - "Nah nah nah.  We beat the Bears and
you didn't!  Ha ha ha!"

Denver over Buffalo - On the other hand, the Bills do have the A-Train...

Washington over Miami - This the first year Snyder did NOT try to buy
a championship.

Pittsburgh over Cleveland - I say the over/under on Brady Quinn
starting should be 1 game.

Jacksonville over Tennessee - Even with all of that AFC firepower,
don't forget about the Jags.

KC over Houston - Did learn nothing from the Scott Mitchell experiment?

Philadelphia over Green Bay - This is more of a commentary on the Packers.

St. Louis over Carolina - Battle of the Slightly-Above-Average teams.

Minnesota over Atlanta - Battle of the Well-Below-Average dome teams.

New England over New York Jets - I hope they just beat the crap out of
each other.

Seattle over Tampa Bay - Even a good Bucs team would struggle after
making this trip.

Dallas over New York Giants - Sadly, I believe TO when he says he's
going to put-up huge fantasy numbers.... it's even sadder that he
would say something like that.

Baltimore over Cincinnati - I've been to Cincinnati.  I don't like it.

San Francisco over Arizona - Zzzzzzzzzzz....

Upset of the Week:

Detroit over Oakland - It isn't an upset just because Oakland is
favored by 1.5 points; it's an upset to suggest the Lions will win a
season opener on the road.